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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #4
    +735
    (55%)
    153-126 in Last 279 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    K. Ware
    Over 16.5
    -112
    PTS + REB
    Picked: Mar 29 @ 10:36am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Kel’el Ware has re-emerged as a key piece for the Heat down the stretch of the regular season. Averaging more than 20 points plus rebounds in March, Ware has cleared this line in nine of his last thirteen games. He’ll have a terrific matchup today against the Pacers who’ve allowed the third most P+R to opposing centers over the last 30 games. They specifically struggle inside (allowing the second most points within 10 feet of the basket this season) and on the glass (third most rebounds allowed).
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    Amags
    player headshot
    T. Imai
    Over 5.5
    +110
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    LOSS
    Picked: Mar 29 @ 11:29am

    Analysis

    Tatsuya Imai makes his major league debut against what is likely to be the best team strikeout matchup in MLB this year. Imai struck out three in 3.2 innings on 79 pitches in his final spring outing, so he should have at least five innings in him and with his unique pitching style, I'm betting it takes the Angels some time to begin recognizing his pitches. Imai features a fastball that ranges vastly in velocity and can hit triple digits, while his slider is a major swing and miss threat. He ran a 15%+ swinging strike rate last year in Japan, striking out more than one batter per inning, so if he can complete five innings, this price is enticing for a 6th strikeout.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +450
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 MLB Picks
    CIN +1.5
    -139
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Mar 29 @ 11:31am

    Analysis

    Really same deal on this matchup as Saturday, which worked well. I think these teams are about evenly matched, so again this feels like +1.5 value. Cincy starts touted righty Rhett Lowder, who looked solid this spring with a 3.60 ERA after looking excellent in his first six big-league starts in 2025 with a 1.17 ERA. It's a touted southpaw rookie for the Sox in Connelly Early. He was shaky in two of three road starts in 2025 (including playoffs) in his cup of coffee. Be fun to see him face red-hot Reds rookie hitter Sal Stewart. He's now the NL ROY betting favorite with a cool 1.917 OPS through two games. I think the Reds came out of Saturday's extra-inning win better bullpen-wise.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +450
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 MLB Picks
    BAL
    -145
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Mar 28 @ 9:57pm

    Analysis

    Definitely disappointed in the Orioles on Saturday and that new-look lineup, which appears so much better on paper, hasn't gotten going yet. But I doubt the Twins win more than five road series all season, I just think they are terrible. Sunday starting pitcher Bailer Ober had a 5.10 ERA last season. Baltimore gave up a sizable prospect haul to get righty Shane Baz from the Rays over the winter and he makes his team debut. Super-talented guy just has a problem staying healthy. Baz looked good this spring with a 2.61 ERA. Only a few Twins have seen him.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +165.5
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Turner
    Over 0.5
    -113
    Runs
    WIN
    Picked: Mar 29 @ 12:04pm

    Analysis

    Trea Turner scored twice in the opener but not in Game 2 as the Phillies' leadoff hitter. He kills new Texas starter Mackenzie Gore, batting .440 off him in 25 at-bats with a .500 OBP. So ideally we cash this in bottom 1. Gore was among the MLB leaders in losses in 2025 with Washington. The winds are blowing out a fair amount at the Bank so maybe Turner simply hits one out himself.

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